The Movie Guys – 2017 Oscar Predictions

List compiled by Jordan and Eddie on 24/02/2017

After the controversy of last years “Oscars So White” we now welcome in one of the most diverse Oscar races in some years.

Whilst dominated by world conquering musical La La Land, this weekend’s Oscar ceremony could still throw out a few unpredictable surprises.

It’s a great year in particular for Australian backed productions with Hacksaw Ridge and Lion well represented and while they’re both unlikely to walk away with too many golden statues, there 12 nominations combined is a fantastic effort.

It’s also nice to see seemingly small scale films like Moonlight, Manchester by the Sea and Fences garner so much attention. In an age where big budgeted events flood our cinema screens, these more intimate human experiences should be more treasured than ever.

As always with J and E’s predications there’s much to be gained (in a small but important way) for the winner of the largest portion of correct predications as it’s always a nice bonus to have something over your friend for the next 12 months at least.

Happy reading and happy (Oscar) watching!

Jordan’s Overview

jordan-mt-field

Most Happy About:

It’s always pleasing seeing a science fiction film in contention for a major award, so I hope that Arrival’s presence among the nominees sparks further inclusion of films in a similar mold in coming years. Being Australian and having tracked the career progression of Teresa Palmer, I’m also pleased that WW2 powerhouse drama Hacksaw Ridge has received just recognition.

Most Unhappy About:

My mind has nigh frazzled trying to comprehend why Makoto Shinkai’s Your Name wasn’t nominated after being submitted for consideration. Largely regarded as one of the finest films of 2016 in any genre, it blends a splendid art style with deeply affecting storytelling and dominated the Japanese box office. A huge shame.

Biggest Surprise:

Hell or High Water is a tout, well-scripted thriller, but I didn’t see its significance being any greater than that of a Joe R. Lansdale novella or other Texan crime stories adapted to film. A good movie, but not a Best Picture contender.

Biggest Snub:

Everybody Wants Some!!, Richard Linklater’s thematic sequel to 90’s cult classic Dazed and Confused, was equal parts funny and masterful in capturing the essence of a time and place. Nostalgic and precise in its character idiosyncrasies, it really should be sitting on the Best Picture list.

Lucky to be There:

I think we need to rename this the Meryl Streep section.

Eddie’s Overview

e

Most Happy About:

It might not be the cool thing at the moment to say but I’m personally very happy to see La La Land get the amount of nominations it has. A wonderful and uplifting film, despite the naysayers it’s a deserving nomination hog.

Arrival’s well deserved 8 nominations are great, as is the love for seemingly simple Texan crime drama Hell or High Water.

Most Unhappy About:

No nominations for The Witch.

A stunning Olde-English horror with a fantastic script, if the Academy wished to reward something out of the ordinary, this was their perfect chance.

Biggest Surprise:

It’s not that it’s not deserved (as it is) but Mel Gibson getting a Best Director nod was a very pleasant surprise.

Many wondered if the outspoken star’s history would stop him from getting just rewards but Gibson’s nomination is a welcoming back for the once fallen filmmaker and for all of us that is indeed a very good thing.

Oh and 13 Hours (that Michael Bay no one remembers already) is officially an Oscar nominee!

Biggest Snub: Silence.

Who would’ve thought that a Martin Scorsese epic would end up with only a singular Oscar nomination.

Despite Silence’s cold reception many still thought that Academy may award Scorsese’s difficult work but at the end of the day, Silence will remain one of the great flops of Scorsese’s incredible career.

Lucky to be There:

It feels like the same thing every year but Meryl Streep. Please Academy can we just stop nominating her for anything she does!

Streep’s work in Florence Foster Jenkin’s stopped other worthy nominees like Amy Adams for Arrival a chance at some attention and that’s a crying shame.

NOMINEES and PREDICTIONS

Best Picture

feature

La La Land should be dancing all the way to the podium when the Best Picture is announced

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land

Lion

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Hacksaw Ridge

Eddie – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Manchester by the Sea

Best Director

mel

Welcomed back into the fold, its great seeing Mel Gibson get just rewards for Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land – Damien Chazelle

Hacksaw Ridge – Mel Gibson

Moonlight – Barry Jenkins

Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan

Arrival – Denis Villeneuve

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)  Dark Horse: Denis Villeneuve (Arrival)

Eddie – Winner: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)  Dark Horse: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)

Best Actor

michelle

Casey Affleck delivers a powerful turn in Manchester by the Sea but is it enough to beat out Denzel Washington?

Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea

Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge

Ryan Gosling – La La Land

Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic

Denzel Washington – Fences

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)  Dark Horse: Ryan Gosling (La La Land)

Eddie – Winner: Denzel Washington (Fences)  Dark Horse: Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea)

Best Actress

portman

Nathalie Portman was once a frontrunner for her turn in Jackie, can she cause an upset on Sunday night?

Isabelle Huppert – Elle

Ruth Negga – Loving

Natalie Portman – Jackie

Emma Stone – La La Land

Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Natalie Portman (Jackie)  Dark Horse: Emma Stone (La La Land)

Eddie – Winner: Emma Stone (La La Land)  Dark Horse: Natalie Portman (Jackie)

Best Supporting Actor

moonlight1

Despite limited screen time, Mahershala Ali should take out a well deserved Oscar for his turn in Moonlight

Mahershala Ali – Moonlight

Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water

Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea

Dev Patel – Lion

Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)  Dark Horse: Lucas Hedges (Manchester by the Sea)

Eddie – Winner: Mahershala Ali (Moonlight)  Dark Horse: Dev Patel (Lion)

Best Supporting Actress

fences

There’s no chance this award isn’t Viola Davis’ after her turn in Fences

Viola Davis – Fences

Naomie Harris – Moonlight

Nicole Kidman – Lion

Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures

Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea) (Unlikely but I really hope…)  Dark Horse: Viola Davis (Fences)

Eddie – Winner: Viola Davis (Fences)  Dark Horse: Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea)

Best Original Screenplay

Hell or High Water

While it has little chance of winning, it’s nice seeing Hell or High Water compete here

20th Century Women – Mike Mills

Hell or High Water – Taylor Sheridan

La La Land – Damien Chazelle

The Lobster – Yorgos Lanthimos, Efthimis Filippou

Manchester by the Sea – Kenneth Lonergan

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)  Dark Horse: Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)

Eddie – Winner: Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester by the Sea)  Dark Horse: Damien Chazelle (La La Land)

Best Adapted Screenplay

feature

Arrival delivered a unique and moving Sci-Fi and deserves a spot on this list

Arrival – Eric Heisserer

Fences – August Wilson

Hidden Figures – Allison Schroeder and Theodore Melfi

Lion – Luke Davies

Moonlight – Barry Jenkins; Story by Tarell Alvin McCraney

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight) Dark Horse: Luke Davies (Lion)

Eddie – Winner: Barry Jenkins (Moonlight)   Dark Horse: August Wilson (Fences)

Best Animated Feature

two

While not a huge commercial hit, many adored Kubo and the Two Strings, but is that enough to beat out big competition in this award?

Kubo and the Two Strings

Moana

My Life as a Zucchini

The Red Turtle

Zootopia

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Your Name (oh, that’s right… It’ll probably end up being the weakest entrant then in Zootopia. I really don’t care at this point)  Dark Horse: Kubo and the Two Strings

Eddie – Winner: Kubo and the Two Strings  Dark Horse: Moana

Best Foreign Language Film

A Man Called Ove

Land of Mine

Tanna

The Salesman

Toni Erdmann

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Toni Erdmann  Dark Horse: Tanna

Eddie – Winner: Toni Erdmann  Dark Horse: The Salesman

Best Documentary Feature

13th

Fire at Sea

I Am Not Your Negro

Life, Animated

O.J.: Made in America

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: O.J: Made in America  Dark Horse: Life, Animated

Eddie – Winner: O.J: Made in America   Dark Horse: 13th

Best Cinematography

Arrival

La La Land

Lion

Moonlight

Silence

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Lion

Eddie – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Silence

Best Film Editing

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

La La Land

Moonlight

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Moonlight

Eddie – Winner: Hacksaw Ridge  Dark Horse: La La Land

Best Production Design

Arrival

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Hail, Caesar!

La La Land

Passengers

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Arrival

Eddie – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Arrival

Best Costume Design

Allied

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

Florence Foster Jenkins

Jackie

La La Land

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Florence Foster Jenkins  Dark Horse: La La Land

Eddie – Winner: Jackie  Dark Horse: La La Land

Best Original Score

Jackie

La La Land

Lion

Moonlight

Passengers

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Moonlight

Eddie – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Lion

Best Original Song

Audition (The Fools Who Dream) – La La Land

Can’t Stop the Feeling – Trolls

City of Stars – La La Land

The Empty Chair – Jim: The James Foley Story

How Far I’ll Go – Moana

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: City of Stars (La La Land)  Dark Horse: How Far I’ll Go (Moana)

Eddie – Winner: Audition (La La Land)   Dark Horse: City of Stars (La La Land)

Best Visual Effects

Deepwater Horizon

Doctor Strange

The Jungle Book

Kubo and the Two Strings

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: The Jungle Book Dark Horse: Kubo and the Two Strings

Eddie – Winner: The Jungle Book  Dark Horse: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

A Man Called Ove

Star Trek Beyond

Suicide Squad

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Star Trek: Beyond  Dark Horse: A Man Called Ove (I can’t acknowledge Suicide Squad as an Academy Award nominee)

Eddie – Winner: Star Trek: Beyond  Dark Horse: Suicide Squad

Best Sound Mixing

Arrival

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story  Dark Horse: La La Land

Eddie – Winner: Hacksaw Ridge  Dark Horse: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Sound Editing

Arrival

Deepwater Horizon

Hacksaw Ridge

La La Land

Sully

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: La La Land  Dark Horse: Hacksaw Ridge

Eddie – Winner: Hacksaw Ridge  Dark Horse: Deepwater Horizon

Best Documentary Short

4.1 Miles

Extremis

Joe’s Violin

Watani: My Homeland

The White Helmets

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: 4.1 Miles  Dark Horse: The White Helmets

Eddie – Winner: Joe’s Violin   Dark Horse: 4.1 Miles

Best Live Action Short Film

Ennemis Interieurs

La Femme et le TGV

Silent Nights

Sing

Timecode

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Sing  Dark Horse: Timecode

Eddie – Winner: Silent Nights  Dark Horse: Sing

Best Animated Short Film

Blind Vaysha

Borrowed Time

Pear Cider and Cigarettes

Pearl

Piper

Predictions

Jordan – Winner: Pearl  Dark Horse: Borrowed Time

Eddie – Winner: Piper  Dark Horse: Borrowed Time

ddWho do you think will sweep the Oscars this year? Is there a film that should/shouldn’t be here? We’d love to hear from you so drop us a line below!

Advertisements

17 responses to “The Movie Guys – 2017 Oscar Predictions

  1. I was shocked too when ‘The Witch” was not there, and ‘Your Name’.
    But I have to disagree with your view of ‘Hell or High Water’. I loved it and wanted it so bad to be nominated. Although, I don’t think it’s getting any win.

    • I would be happy for that to take it home mate, those mind-bending scenes were something else. I still feel however there will be some Disney love for Jungle Book amongst the voters.
      E

  2. I have to say that it is good to see Mel back in the mix again. He is a terrific director. I really enjoyed Apocalypto. I totally agree with the both of you. Meryl Streep cannot be nominated every year. It is getting ridiculous. I felt that way about Tom Hanks when he was constantly getting accolades.

  3. I agree that Hell or High Water is a surprise nominee for Best Picture. I watched it last weekend and thought it was an okay crime film that was essentially a modern western. But if the standard for Oscar nomination is people staring at sunsets and “deep and meaningful” silences in scenes, then Conan should have won all the awards back in the day.

  4. Pingback: The Movie Guys: Post-Oscar Breakdown 2017 | Jordan and Eddie (The Movie Guys)·

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s